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05-19 13:24 - 'Hello 👋 I am Ryan a forex trader from Los Angeles California USA 🇺🇸 and i will like to introduce you to the most profitable online earning business that will enable you earn well and make your weekly income. Inbox 📩 Me...' by /u/trade_with_Ray removed from /r/Bitcoin within 200-210min

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Hello 👋 I am Ryan a forex trader from Los Angeles California USA 🇺🇸 and i will like to introduce you to the most profitable online earning business that will enable you earn well and make your weekly income. Inbox 📩 Me for More info
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Author: trade_with_Ray
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La realidad del trading. Te cuento por que la mayoría de personas pierden.

La verdad que en todos lados leo gente diciendo que el trading no funciona y que prefieren meterse en las inversiones a mediano y largo plazo, e ir a lo seguro, lo cual no esta mal, pero en parte estan equivocados.
El trading SI funciona, y te voy a explicar por que. Básicamente la mayoria de la gente fracasa porque compra cursos de mierda, de traders de mierda que no saben un carajo. Y cuál es el problema de esto? Que basicamente estas aprendiendo con la información erronea, con los puntos de vista de gente inútil, y cuando vos vas al mercado perdés la mayoria de las veces. Incluso he visto gente con AÑOS de estudio que no saben leer bien la estructura del mercado, y ni hablar de su pesimo rendimiento. Se enfocan en lineas de tendencia, soportes y resistencias, patrones de velas y toda esa basura que te enseñan en youtube, lo cual no esta mal, pero si no tenes un entendimiento de estructura, ciclos, manipulacion no vas a llegar a ningun lado.
Y que pasa con esto? Que el tipo que estudio en esos cursos basuras, pierde, se frustra y lo ves en todos lados criticando al trading. Además de tener una estrategia nefasta basada en cientos de indicadores y figuras chartistas, también tiene una pesima gestión de riesgo, lo cual significa fracaso.
La mayoría de los traders que vos ves en youtube la plata que generan son de cursos y no de los mercados, no se dejen engañar. Son muy buenos mostrándote resultados pasados en tradingview y subiendo fotos en miami pero operando son un desastre. O también te muestran alguna ganancia que tuvieron y la suben a youtube, a instagram y a donde sea, pero no te muestran el track record completo, asi cualquiera pa. Todo esto que mencioné lo hacen para vender mas y que la gente se haga falsas ilusiones.
Cual es mi recomendación?
Empezá buscando un curso bueno, con la información correcta. Tenes el de SMB capital, el de Tradingdefuturos y el de Inner circle trader, este ultimo se esta popularizando demasiado y es bastante efectivo.
Estos cursos se enfocan en trading institucional, en liquidez, manipulación y todo lo que vos necesitas saber para tener un buen entendimiento del mercado a nivel estructural, etc.
Ya diciendote todo esto te ahorre años de tiempo perdido, espero que aproveches.
Cual es el siguiente aspecto importante? La gestion de riesgo, si vos tenes esto y una buena estrategia ya tenes rentabilidad.
Por que? Bueno, yo siempre recomiendo operar con un ratio riesgo beneficio de 1:3. Que quiere decir esto? Que arriesgo 1 para ganar 3, y de esta forma me puedo permitir tener pérdidas sin que me afecte.
Suponiendo que vos arriesgas un 2% por operación, para ganar 6% (1:3), vos necesitarías un 30% de efectividad para salir ganador.
Si vos perdes 7 operaciones, y ganas 3, con un 2% de riesgo por trade estarias ganando un total de 4%. Si vos perdes 5 operaciones y ganas 5, con un 2% estarías ganando un 20%. Y asi sucesivamente. Si subís el riesgo a 5% ni te cuento.
Y si, seguro algunos monos despues de leer esto me van a querer citar a Warren Buffet diciendo que el gana un 30% al año. Y cual es la diferencia? Warren buffet es multimillonario, vos sos alguien con una cuenta de 500usd. 5% de 80mil millones son 4mil millones. 5% de 500 es de 25usd. Vos si te podes dar el lujo de perder dinero, el no. Ademas, , el es inversor, no trader.
Vos al tener cuentas chicas de 100 a 10k te podes dar el lujo de operar con mas riesgo, y asi obtener mas rentabilidad mensual. La rentabilidad que vos tengas va a depender del riesgo que estes dispuesto a asumir.
No te sorprendas si ves a gente generando un 200% anual o mensual, o incluso semanal. Por que? Porque probablemente esten usando un riesgo altísimo y si tienen una mala semana cagan fuego. Es posible, por mas que los cabezas de termo te digan que no, si es posible sacar 10%, 20% y 30% mensual, lo que necesitas es una buena gestión de riesgo y una estrategia rentable. Ahora, como dije, todo depende del riesgo que estes dispuesto a asumir, si vos usas un riesgo bajisimo de 0.5% por operación y generas un 5% de 2k, son 100usd, con eso no haces nada., pero en cuentas grandes, de 100k, 5% son 5mil usd, suficiente para vivir tranquilo y cagarte de risa.
Ahora, suponiendo que vos ya te leíste todos los libros y cursos e hiciste mucho backtesting, y en demo tenes buena efectividad, pero no tenes los huevos para operar en real, que haces?
Fácil, haces una prueba de fondeo en alguna firma, de esa forma si perdes no te quemas tanto, pero si ganas tenes una cuenta de 25k en tu poder. Cual es el requisito de estas pruebas? 4% en seis meses, es decir, tenes seis meses para conseguir ese objetivo. Seis meses es demasiado tiempo, asi que si vos realmente sos rentable lo vas a conseguir.
Que mercados recomiendo? Forex y futuros, y si, tambien hay monos que odian forex pero es porque no lo saben operar. En forex tenes mas liquidez, mejor apalancamiento, mercado 24/5, y los análisis fundamentales son mucho mas sencillos. Suponiendo que vos aprendiste con los que te mencioné arriba no vas a tener problemas entendiendo forex.
El trading no es tan complicado, la gente se complica y se frustra. Recuerden siempre tener un buen ratio riesgo beneficio y ya no les van a molestar tanto las pérdidas.
Yo abro tres o cuatro operaciones al mes con un 2% de riesgo, en scalping, en un dia cualquiera. Si yo gano dos y pierdo dos ya tengo un 8%, que hago? No opero hasta el mes que viene y me enfoco en otras cosas, y listo, no busco mas que eso. No sobreopero, no busco 200% al mes porque no necesito, y tampoco cierro las operaciones antes de tocar el take profit, porque asi es mi gestión de riesgo. A las cuentas de 100usd y 500usd aprovechenlas, usen un riesgo un poco mas alto y con el tiempo van a tener un buen monto. Si ustedes tienen un trabajo estable no les va a joder tanto perder eso. A medida que la cuenta sube el riesgo baja. Siempre antes de mandarse en real asegurense de haber hecho mucho backtesting, mucho.
Si pueden traten siempre operar para firmas de trading, es mucho mejor en mi opinión ya que no arriesgas tu dinero y cada cierto tiempo te duplican el capital para operar (en caso de que cumplas con los objetivos).
Firmas que recomiendo :The5ers y Ftmo.
submitted by degranthis1 to merval [link] [comments]

How much money do I need to start day trading?

I did some research, and it looks like there's a $25,000 minimum account balance requirement to start stock trading in the USA, but it varies from country to country.
Apparently, if I start trading futures I'd only need a minimum account balance of $1000.
Day traders trade stocks, options, futures, commodities, currencies (forex), or cryptocurrencies. (are these called securities, and are there any other ones I'm missing?)
Apart from stocks and futures, do I need a minimum account balance for the rest of those securities?
Edit: I'm a noob (as you can tell) 😅
submitted by Necessary-Fact to Daytrading [link] [comments]

The FCA bans on Bitcoin and other crypto assets are too harsh and hypocritical.

I as a British citizen and Im concerned about the recent Bitcoin ban.
Reasons why:
  1. You can be scammed out on Forex trading due to high leverage, online con artists and platforms shutting down forex trading altogether.
Plus 500 stopped trading the USA/CNH trading pair after the trade war was declared by trump.
  1. Gambling has no regulations, I can spend as much money as possible on any game or sport and no questions are asked.
A uni student committed suicide last year after being groomed by gambling companies to spend over 20k in one week. No action was taken.
  1. Platforms such as plus 500 offer options that have high spreads, hidden leverage, doesn't track the asset price and can be shut down and can be manupliated by the platform at will.
Plus 500 regulary increase the spread of options such as gold, oil, stocks during trading days and also shut down trading on a daily basis.
Plus 500 shut down Natural gas options for 12hrs due to a 6% slump.
  1. The UK is one of the biggest money laundering and predatory finance trading countries in the world.
The requirements to be a pro trader are insane: ( you need 2/3)
  1. you need experience working in finance.
  2. 500k trading captail
  3. Or make 12+ large trades in the past year.
Ironically using Binance and Coinbase for trading has been safer for me compared to uk stock/forex trading apps.
In summary the reasons above HAPPEN ALL THE TIME AND NOTHING IS BEING DONE TO STOP THESE THINGS FROM HAPPENING.
But Bitcoin and cryptocurrencey as a whole are seen as evil even though they have been profitable for the majority of their existence.
submitted by Vegas-Ranger to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Islamic Accounts in the USA?

Hi all. I'm new to this and I had a question or two for Muslim Forex traders. I'm looking to open an Islamic account for swap free trades that involve 0% interest. Does anyone know websites that offer Islamic Accounts in the USA?
Also I was reading that some websites are not working with the USA due to CFTC regulations. What does that mean, and does this regulation make Forex trading harder? I would love to hear from someone who has been through all this. Thanks everyone!
submitted by Rendo92 to Forex [link] [comments]

10 Secrets The Trading Industry Doesn’t Want You To Know About

Today’s lesson goes to be somewhat controversial and should ruffle some feathers. I shall blow wide open and debunk tons of the knowledge you've got presumably been exposed to the present far in your trading journey.
The average trader is out there walking through a confusing and conflicting maze of data from a spread of sources including; blogs, forums, broker websites, books, e-books, courses and YouTube videos.
With of these learning resources available there's naturally getting to be some excellent and a few very bad information, but actually , there just isn’t how for many aspiring traders to understand what to concentrate to, who to concentrate to, or what information is useful and what information is non-beneficial.
I’m not getting to pretend that there's how for an aspiring trader to filter this giant sea of data composed by of these resources and mentors out there, because there simply isn’t. knowledgeable trader with 10,000 hours of experience might stand an opportunity of deciding the great from the bad and therefore the valid from the invalid. However, you, the beginner or intermediate trader simply won’t possess that filtering ability yet.
Becoming ‘Non-Average’
As traders, we concede to our instinctive feelings of social trustworthiness supported what we see and listen to , often to our extreme detriment. we frequently tend to require a leap of religion with our mentors and have a habit of taking things said to us at face value. we would like to hold close information that resonates with us and is sensible to us, especially if it’s delivered by a well-known source that we've come to understand and trust.
The ‘average trader’s brain’ is usually trying to find a shortcut due to the overwhelming desire to form money and be free. The brain wants to urge a winning result immediately with the smallest amount amount of effort possible. If you would like to ever make it as a professional trader or investor, I suggest you are doing everything you'll to avoid thinking with the ‘average trader’s brain‘ and begin being ‘non-average’. meaning becoming far more aware, thinking outside the box more and questioning and filtering the knowledge you read and watch. most significantly , slowing everything all down!
This now begs the apparent question…how does one even know what I’m close to write during this lesson is actually valid and factual? How are you able to really be sure? the reality is unless you've got followed me and my posts on this blog for an extended time and know me and know my work, then you can’t really make certain , and that i don’t expect you to easily believe it at face value. If you would like to return back and re-read this lesson during a few weeks, or a couple of months, or a couple of years, after you work out that i'm somebody worth taking note of about trading OR that i'm somebody not worth taking note of about trading, then so be it.
So with a degree of healthy skepticism, I ask you to think about the below list of eye-opening secrets that professional traders and therefore the trading industry, don’t want you to understand about or understand. I hope it helps…
Visit : توصيات الذهب اليوم
FOREX isn’t the sole market the Professionals trade
The FX market is large , with billions of dollars per day changing hands. It can cause you to great money if you recognize what you’re doing OR it can send you broke if you don’t. It’s a really popular market to trade globally, BUT it’s not the sole market the professional’s trade and it’s not always the simplest market to trade either.
A note on leverage:
The brokers and platform providers want you to trade FX on high leverage because the profit margins are very high for them. However, if you trade FX on lower leverage, the profit margins shrink dramatically for them. once you trade FX, start brooding about what can fail rather than just brooding about what can go right. I suggest avoiding stupidly high leverage like 400 to 1, as this will be very dangerous for you if the market moves quickly or experiences a price gap and your stop-loss orders aren’t executed at the worth you set. A more sensible leverage level would be 100 to 1 or 200 to 1, but any higher seems crazy. (Using an excessive amount of leverage is what wiped tons of traders out during Swiss Bank Crisis in 2015, The Brexit choose 2016 and therefore the Currency flash crash in early 2019).
Broaden your view:
Going forward, it'll serve you well in your trading career to start out watching a spread of worldwide markets including FX, Stock Indicies and Commodities. additionally to FX, I personally trade GOLD (XAUUSD), S&P500 Index USA, the SPI200 Index Australia, and therefore the Hang Seng Index Hong Kong , and sometimes individual stocks on various global exchanges. In short, there's more to the trading world than simply FX. I discuss the foremost popular markets I trade this lesson here.
Day trading isn’t what Pro trading really is
The internet is crammed with marketing trying to convince folks that the definition of a trader may be a one that spends all day actively trading in and out of the market on a brief term basis, all whilst living the life-style of a Wall St millionaire. there's a significant agenda within the industry to push this story to the masses, it's been relentless for many years .
I am yet to satisfy one successful day trader who is consistent over the future and that i have almost 25,000 students and 250,000 readers on this blog. i'm not saying there isn’t a couple of out there, but 99.9% of the people that do this sort of trading or attempt to live up to the standard day trader stereotype are getting to fail and perhaps even harm themselves financially or mentally. Watching a screen all day and searching for trades constantly is that the like a compulsive gambler playing roulette during a casino.
The successful traders i do know of (myself included) are watching higher time frames and longer time horizons (minimum 4-hour chart timeframes and predominantly daily chart time frames). they need no restriction on how long they're looking to carry a trade for and that they tend to let the trades find them. The professionals i do know , don't day trade, they are doing not watch screens all day, they are doing not search for trades constantly. they're going to typically fall under the category of a swing trader, trend trader or position trader.
The obvious paradox and conflicting reality within the ‘day trader story’ is blatantly obvious. How does a trader who is consistently watching a screen and constantly trading have time to enjoy his life and live the lifestyle? They chose to trade as a profession to possess a life, they didn’t choose it to observe a screen 24/5.
Here are some points to think about that employment against the so-called ‘ day trader’:
The shorter the time-frame the more noise and random price movement there's , thus increasing your chance of simply being stopped out of the trade.
Your ‘trading edge’ features a higher chance of yielding a result for you if you’re not trading within the intraday noise.
The same trading edge doesn't work or produce an equivalent results on a 5 min chart compared to a Daily chart.
Commissions and spreads churn your account, therefore the more you trade the more you lose in broker platform costs. (I will mention this below)
Risk-Reward ratios aren't relative on shorter and longer time frames. Statistical average volatility across different time periods also as natural market dynamics play an enormous role during this . there's much more weight behind higher time frames than lower timeframes.
Great trades take time because the market moves slower than most of the people ever anticipate. Trading from the upper timeframes and holding trades for extended time periods will provide you with greater opportunities to ascertain trades mature into big winners. However, shorter timeframes don’t provide you with this same opportunity fairly often .
submitted by LondonForex to u/LondonForex [link] [comments]

Dollar smiles again. Forecast as of 11.11.2020

Dollar smiles again. Forecast as of 11.11.2020
While the EURUSDbulls wonder why the price isn’t rising, the bears see the reasons for a deeper correction. What’s next? Let us discuss the Forex outlook and make up a EURUSD trading plan.

Monthly US dollar fundamental forecast

It is impossible to predict market trends. The market is unpredictable; it can always surprise us. The EURUSD bulls are surprised because the pair doesn’t grow. There should be several reasons for the euro growth. Joe Biden has won the US presidential election; there is positive news about the COVID-19 vaccines. Investors should have started selling the dollar. However, the greenback remains strong, encouraging traders to buy the USD.
Jefferies notes that the USD closed in the red zone six months out of the last seven, having been down by 11%. The dollar’s surge on November 9 proves that most of the negative had been priced in the quotes, and the greenback will hardly start falling now. The central bank in Europe and Asia, which compete with the Fed, are willing to provide an extra monetary stimulus, which is a bearish factor for their local currencies. Jefferies sees the EURUSD falling to 1.14 as the dollar smile theory is popular again. It suggests the USD should strengthen at the final, third stage of the economic cycle because the US GDP outperforms the global peers.
Even though the next two quarters, according to the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Robert Kaplan, will be tough for the US, it should demonstrate robust growth in 2021. Unlike Europe, the USA does not impose a lockdown, and the restrictions introduced in the euro-area countries are costly. For example, each month of helping businesses and workers in Italy affected by COVID-19 will cost Rome €10 billion. If the restrictions last through March, it will cost €40 billion - €50 billion, or 3% of GDP. Furthermore, the PMIs and other indicators are falling, which is confirmed by a decrease in the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany to the lowest level since April.

Dynamics of German economic sentiment index


Source: Bloomberg
The epidemiological situation in the euro area deteriorates. The ECB estimates that one in seven workers in Spain is associated with a business at risk of collapse, which compares with 8% of employees in Germany and France, and 10% - in Italy. The divergence in economic growth is in favor of the USA, which presses down the EURUSD.
And what about Biden’s victory and coronavirus vaccines? I believe the first driver has already worked out, which is evident from the euro drop on November 9. There is still much uncertainty around vaccines. Nobody can say how quickly they will be introduced and how long the immunity will last. The market needs time. The US stock indexes could be overvalued and will be unstable in the next few weeks. Besides, the positive news about COVID-19 vaccines will give Republicans a reason to delay or adopt a smaller fiscal stimulus than previously anticipated.

Monthly EURUSD trading plan

The euro should be strong in the long-term outlook, but it should weaken in the short term. Under such conditions, one could buy the EURUSD at the breakout of the resistance at 1.192. It will be relevant to sell the euro-dollar if the price breaks out the support at 1.179.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-smiles-again-forecast-as-of-11112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Your Pre Market Brief for 07/16/2020

Pre Market Brief for Thursday July 16th 2020

You can subscribe to the daily 4:00 AM Pre Market Brief on The Twitter Link Here . Alerts in the tweets will direct you to the daily 4:00 AM Pre Market Brief in this sub.
Updated as of 4:45 AM EST
-----------------------------------------------
Stock Futures:
Wednesday 07/15/2020 News and Markets Recap:
Thursday July 16th 2020 Economic Calendar (All times are in EST)
(JOBLESS CLAIMS TODAY)
News Heading into Thursday July 16th 2020:
NOTE: I USUALLY (TRY TO) POST MANY OF THE MOST PROMISING, DRAMATIC, OR BAD NEWS OVERNIGHT STORIES THAT ARE LIKELY IMPORTANT TO THE MEMBERS OF THIS SUB AT THE TOP OF THIS LIST. PLEASE DO NOT YOLO THE VARIOUS TICKERS WITHOUT DOING RESEARCH! THE TIME STAMPS ON THESE MAY BE LATER THAN OTHERS ON THE WEB.
Upcoming Earnings:
Commodities:
COVID-19 Stats and News:
Macro Considerations:
Most Recent SEC Filings
Other
-----------------------------------------------
Morning Research and Trading Prep Tool Kit
Other Useful Resources:
The Ultimate Quick Resource For the Amateur Trader.
Subscribe to This Brief and the daily 4:00 AM Pre Market Brief on The Twitter Link Here . Alerts in the tweets will direct you to the daily brief in this sub
submitted by Cicero1982 to pennystocks [link] [comments]

Dollar is set back by euphoria. Forecast as of 09.11.2020

Dollar is set back by euphoria. Forecast as of 09.11.2020
Investors continue trading the idea of Joe Biden becoming the president. That is why the S&P 500 features the best weekly rise since April and pushes the EURUSD up. How long will it continue? Let us discuss the Forex outlook and make up a EURUSD trading plan.

Weekly US dollar fundamental analysis

Euphoria rules the market. Investors forgot about both COVID-19, the US fiscal stimulus's unsettled issue, and Donald Trump rejecting the voting results. Traders are satisfied with the less uncertainty around Joe Biden’s policy, hoping for lower volatility. Analysts suggest that the divided Congress won’t allow Biden to carry out radical reforms in tightening taxation and regulation of technology companies. As a result, the S&P 500 grew by 7.3% in the first week of November, and the USD dropped to the lowest level since early September.
How long will the euphoria last? History proves that starting from 2000, if the S&P 500 was growing on election day, it continued growing in November and December. The first years of presidential terms were also favorable for the US stock indexes. The S&P 500 grew by 18.6% on average. However, the stock indexes’ trends during the time of the divided Congress, which prevented the White House from carrying out radical reforms, were controversial. During 45 years, starting from 1928, when one party controlled the US government, the stock market rose at an average rate of 7.46% annually, up from 7.26% in 46 years when the power was divided.

Reaction of S&P 500 to the political situation in USA


Source: Wall Street Journal
In my opinion, the markets are going too fast. Investors want to join the stock market’s uptrend, forgetting about the negative. However, are some negative factors that should have their effect. First, political uncertainty continues. Donald Trump is challenging the election results. Because of the second round of voting in Georgia, we will know the partisan makeup of the U.S. Senate only on January 5. It creates obstacles to the agreement on the new fiscal stimulus. Until a fresh stimulus is provided, the US economy will be slowing down, which presses down both the global GDP and the risk appetite.
Second, the coronavirus vaccines haven’t yet been developed, and the COVID-19 pandemic continues in the USA and in the euro area. The numbers of new coronavirus cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are hitting all-time highs, so investors’ optimism is surprising. The epidemiological situation in Europe is deteriorating. France, Germany, and other countries are locked down. This fact suggests that the divergence in the economic growth and monetary policy is in favor of the EURUSD bears.
Finally, the U.S. dollar may not be falling amid the growth of the S&P 500. The negative correlation between stocks and the USD is the strongest at the time of uncertainty, also because of the US presidential election. Once uncertainty eases, the negative correlation should stop working.

Weekly EURUSD trading plan

Euphoria rules the market, but it can’t last for long. If the EURUSD bulls fail to hold the price above 1.188, the pair should roll down to 1.183 and 1.1785. Otherwise, if the resistance is held up, the euro could continue the rally up to $1.195-$1.196 and even $1.2. Next, large traders should take some profits and exit the longs.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-is-set-back-by-euphoria-forecast-as-of-09112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423

submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Is this guy trying to scam me? Should I report him?

This morning, I had a guy (UK) reach out to me (USA) on Instagram. No mutuals, no reason us to be connected. After a few short messages, here's what he sent to me:
"I'm (name) and I work with a financial growth institute on Forex, I'm a professional Forex trader with 11 years experience where I'm able to achieve success where others find it difficult. ForexTrade is the fastest growing and easiest growing online trade very beneficial to everyone interested. It is trade made on Gold, Bitcoin, currencies, as well as cryptocurrencies (digital currency) and the stocks when there would be a rose or fall and it would be safe to buy or sell. You don't need any skill to do it because we are professional traders and account managers and study the stocks market and know when it's safe to sell or buy when favourable to your gain.
Forex trading is one of the highest paid investment treasury in the world, it is a lucrative platform worth trillions of dollars and you can earn tremendous profits with good experience in Forex trading. Here you can make twice your investment, no experience needed. Let's say I start trading on Forex with $5000, I'm sure to get a profit of $15000 at the end of every week or 21 days at most."
Me: "Cool, what's your role?"
Him: "I offer trading account management services with tutoring where you'll be able to watch your forex live trading account progression with each day I manage and trade your account. I charge a 20% commission of the total profits I make trading on your Forex live account.
I googled "Forex scam" and couldn't find too much online. I'm really suspicious for a few reasons:
  1. A lot of what he says seems like stringing along buzzwords in an effort to wow me. "Bitcoin... as well as cryptocurrencies" But bitcoin IS a cyrptocurrency...? Also what even is a financial growth institute?
  2. Why can't I find him on LinkedIn? That seems like an obvious place to be if you're trying to expand your network (and a whole lot more reasonable than Instagram)
  3. If we "don't need any skill to do it", why do I need to pay him 20% commission? Surely I could find someone else who will do it for less or do it myself?
  4. His Instagram says he has 8000 followers, following 7000 people. But his first post is from *3 days ago* and none of them has more than 80 likes. To me, it looks like he's bought most of his followers. Also just looking through a few of their profiles, none of them appear to be British.
  5. He seems very certain of his ability to succeed. That certainty seems misplaced for a few reasons.
  6. He has no reason to reach out to me. When I accepted his message request, I thought he had found me on Tinder or something. But no, he just saw that I'm military and I'd liked some pictures on a military page (which FUCK THIS GUY WITH A SPATULA if he's trying to scam fellow service members out of money).
So anyway. If this is a scam (which I am leaning toward yes), my follow-up would be:
  1. Can I report him to Instagram? Will anything be done?
  2. What else could I do? If he's actively targeting the military, I want to bring this guy down.
submitted by TheStairsGoUp to NoStupidQuestions [link] [comments]

Dollar is following its heart. Forecast as of 06.11.2020

Dollar is following its heart. Forecast as of 06.11.2020

Weekly US dollar fundamental analysis

Markets are just like people. They follow their hearts from time to time and forget about common sense. Investors like the idea of the division in the Congress and the Democratic president. In this scenario, the risks of tax hikes and high tech companies' strict regulation are much lower. This fact supports the stock indexes. The S&P 500 has been up by 1% and more during four consecutive trading sessions, which has been for the first time since 1982. In percentage terms, those days have been the best since early April. Markets consider Joe Biden to be a better president than Donald Trump, which allowed the yuan to gain back more than 50% of the losses faced during trade wars. The EURUSD tested the resistance at 1.186-1.187.
The growing chance of Biden’s victory encourages investors to spend the cash, which they have been accumulating ahead of the US presidential election. They are buying stocks and bonds. However, traders forget about other factors, such as the pandemic, uncertainty around the new fiscal stimulus, and Donald Trump’s willingness to reject the voting results. It looks like an attempt to give out desirable for valid. According to TD securities, there should not be any concerns about challenging the voting results, which has pushed the risky assets up and weakened the US dollar. DZ Bank believes that the greenback is falling because the voting results were reported earlier than some had expected. I do not think the above arguments to be strong.
I suppose traders are following their hearts. They invest the capitals in the securities as they worry not to miss the uptrend, which sends the S&P 500 up, fuels global risk appetite, and weakens the US dollar against a basket of currencies.

Dynamics of world's currencies versus the US dollar


Source: Financial Times
How long can it be going on? It depends. People in love are passionate during different periods. However, common sense should win sooner or later. The USA performs better than the euro area at the current stage of the economic cycle. The Fed is not willing to boost the monetary stimulus while the ECB tends to increase the current QE pace. According to Bloomberg’s leading indicators, the largest euro-area economies face a deeper drawdown in the PMIs because of the new lockdowns. The euro-area bond yields fall, which signals that the markets expect the ECB to take active measures in December.

Recovery of the world’s economies


Source: Bloomberg

Yields on the euro-area bonds


Source: Wall Street Journal

Weekly EURUSD trading plan

Let us be sensible during times of euphoria. Although the EURUSD has rebounded from the resistance at 1.186, the shorts entered in the zone seem vulnerable. It will be relevant to hold down the shorts if the pair goes below the support at 1.179. The S&P 500 rally could push the euro up above $1.188. The EURUSD medium-term outlook depends on whether the bulls can hold the price above 1.188.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-is-following-its-heart-forecast-as-of-06112020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Dollar rocks on the waves. Analysis as of 28.10.2020

Dollar rocks on the waves. Analysis as of 28.10.2020

Weekly fundamental forecast for the dollar

The fear of coronavirus makes US stock market bulls retreat, which results in the US dollar’s consolidation. The number of new cases hits a record high in the USA. The US also reported record high hospitalization rates since 19 August, while France recorded the highest daily death toll since April. Emmanuel Macron is rumored to introduce another lockdown. That dropped the EURUSD quotes below the bottom of figure 18. The fall might have been deeper if not for expectations of the Democrats’ victory on 3 November.
According to 75% of 59 Reuters experts, a blue wave will be the best option for the US economy. It will help the fiscal stimulus package worth $1.8 trillion pass easily through Congress. Experts forecast that the US GDP will draw down 4% in 2020 and expand 3.7% and 2.9% in 2021-2022, respectively.

Reuters survey: What will support the US economy?

Source: Reuters.
A blue wave and post-election reduction in political uncertainty suggest that volatility may fall. That’s good news for S&P 500 and bad news for the greenback. The world’s largest financial manager BlackRock, which manages assets worth $7.3 trillion, thinks that the USD will be moderately weak for 1-3 years. The giant joints USD bulls, such as Goldman Sachs and UBS. Its position explains why hedge funds are selling out dollars in the forward market.

USD index and speculative positions in USD


Source: Bloomberg.
Uncertainty feeds the dollar. The markets seem to know already the presidential election’s results. The election factor excluded, the second wave may drop EURUSD quotes significantly. We may face the global economy’s double recession and another collapse of the S&P 500 and the greenback’s hike like it was in March. All the previous achievements will be canceled. Few are those who will remember the housing prices’ growth in the USA and the fifth consecutive month of increase in US durable goods orders.

US durable goods orders


Source: Bloomberg.
At first sight, the second pandemic wave must push the ECB to active actions as early as at the 29 October meeting. However, QE expansion won’t solve the COVID-19 issue. European banks stop crediting, fearing bad debt growth. So, Christine Lagarde’s main task is to calm down financial markets. A hint about an additional stimulus in December may help with that task.

Weekly trading plan for EURUSD

Thus, the pandemic returned to Forex’s forefront and consolidated the USD. However, I think it’s still possible to exploit the factor of Joe Biden’s victory in the short term. The EURUSD’s retracement from support at 1.1745 or return to 1.1815 and higher may be a signal to open long positions for impatient and adventurous traders.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/dollar-rocks-on-the-waves-analysis-as-of-28102020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Bulls are selling off the euro. Forecast for 15.10.2020

Bulls are selling off the euro. Forecast for 15.10.2020

Fundamental euro forecast today

The single European currency is trading flat, and the traders wonder what signals they should consider. The price may go up following the pound, rising amid the UK's willingness to continue negotiation with the EU after the summit on October 15-16. It may also go down, following the US stock indexes. Steven Mnuchin has sent the S&P 500 down. The Treasury Secretary says a fiscal stimulus deal is unlikely to be reached before the election. It has started the sell-off in the US stock market and strengthened the greenback.
The dollar will now respond to pathetic speeches and promises. According to Donald Trump, the vote on November 3 is a choice between “historic prosperity” and a “steep depression.” The US president is focusing on economic expansion. It looks like Trump has ruled in two different countries. The first economy was flourishing and reached record highs of such indicators as employment, household incomes, and equity prices. The second economy has had the worst performance ever, being damaged by the COVID-19.
The Americans are ready to forgive Trump for unfulfilled promises about 3% GDP growth, reducing the foreign trade deficit, and building a wall on the Mexican border. However, they will hardly forgive the inefficient management of the pandemic. According to the Gallup survey, 56% of the respondents believed they were better off now compared to four years ago. It is more than that of Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama when they were re-elected. Simultaneously, the survey showed that Trump, in general, loses to Biden because of COVID-19.
The US pandemic management was inefficient, which cost the lives of more than 200,000 people. It is evident from Bloomberg's research, according to which, the pandemic management in the UK and the EU was more effective than in the US. It remains uncertain how long the fiscal stimulus will last in the US, and some aid packages have exhausted. Therefore, economic stimulating in the US was less effective than in the euro-area.

Economic effect of stimulus


Source: Bloomberg
The positive effect of the stimulus supported the EURUSD rally in the June-August period. Amid the timely and large-scale aid packages, the euro-area economy performed better than the US. The second wave of the pandemic turned everything upside down. Some European countries are currently closing schools, canceling surgeries, and recruiting medical students, getting prepared for a repeat of the nightmare scenario that took place in the spring.

Dynamics of leading economic indicators


Source: Bloomberg

EURUSD trading plan today

The market is growing on rumors and falling on the facts. The EURUSD bulls hoped that the euro-area GDP recovery would be faster than in the USA. They are exiting longs now, being disappointed. If the euro breaks out the support at $1.1715, one could add up to the euro shorts entered level $1.178.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/bulls-are-selling-off-the-euro-forecast-for-15102020/?uid=285861726&cid=62423
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Can I trade stocks in my home country while I am travelling ?

Im a stock trader and I live in Turkey (Im a citizen). I use a brokerage firm in Turkey to trade in the Turkish stock market. We don't have capital gains tax on stocks, which is a really nice thing I would like to keep enjoying. (I think also applies to Turkish citizens living abroad)
After(?) corona virus I would like to travel, especially around Europe and USA but open to SEA, Far East Asia and New Zealand (i hate bugs so absolutely no Australia).
(I know I should talk to an accountant/lawyer, I will eventually)
1)Can I trade stocks through my brokerage firm while travelling with tourist visa? If yes, will the countries I travel tax me?
2)Can I trade in foreign markets (both countries I travel and not) through a foreign brokerage firm while travelling with a tourist visa? If yes, would I get taxed from brokerage firms country, my home country Turkey or my vacation country?
3)Can I trade forex? Same questions.
Also 4)Same tax questions but with a seasonal jobs visa?
submitted by Marxs_Beard to digitalnomad [link] [comments]

Forex Live Signals Telegram (USDCHF) 💯✅📢

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FOREX SIGNALS
INSIDER SIGNALS ALERT🔔
📡USD CHF
🔹BUY 0.91055 (NOW)
✅TP1 0.9140 (close 1/2 lot. Move SL to entry)
✅TP2 0.9170 (take some partial)
✅TP3 0.9187 (close trade)
❌SL 0.9085
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submitted by Rudenko to PriceAction_FxSignals [link] [comments]

Forex Live Signals Telegram (GBPAUD) 💯✅📢

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FOREX SIGNALS GBP AUD
INSIDER SIGNALS ALERT🔔
📡GBP AUD
🔹BUY 1.76007 (NOW)
✅TP1 1.7678 (close 1/2 lot. Move SL to entry)
✅TP2 1.7719 (take some partial)
✅TP3 1.7792 (close trade)
❌SL 1.76011
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submitted by Rudenko to PriceAction_FxSignals [link] [comments]

Forex Live Signals Telegram (GBPAUD) 💯✅📢

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FOREX SIGNALS GBPAUD
🔔INSIDER SIGNALS ALERT🔔
📡GBP AUD
🔹BUY 1.80201 (NOW)
✅TP1 1.8063 (close 1/2 lot. Move SL to entry)
✅TP2 1.1.811 (take some partial)
✅TP3 1.8170 (close trade)
❌SL 1.79540
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submitted by Rudenko to PriceAction_FxSignals [link] [comments]

Forex Live Signals Telegram (CADJPY) 💯✅📢

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FOREX SIGNALS
🔔INSIDER SIGNALS ALERT🔔
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🔹SELL 81.33 (NOW)
✅TP1 81.02 (close 1/2 lot. Move SL to entry)
✅TP2 80.88 (take some partial)
✅TP3 80.67 (close trade)
❌SL 81.510
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submitted by Rudenko to PriceAction_FxSignals [link] [comments]

Forex Live Signals Telegram (EURUSD) 💯✅📢

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FOREX SIGNAL EURUSD
🔔INSIDER SIGNALS ALERT🔔
📡EUR USD
🔹BUY 1.18466 (NOW)
✅TP1 1.1868 (close 1/2 lot. Move SL to entry)
✅TP2 1.1914 (take some partial)
✅TP3 1.1974 (close trade)
❌SL 1.17820
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submitted by Rudenko to PriceAction_FxSignals [link] [comments]

Forex Live Signals Telegram (CHFJPY) 💯✅📢

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FOREX SIGNAL CHF JPY
🔔INSIDER SIGNALS ALERT🔔
📡CHF JPY
🔹SELL 117.070 (NOW)
✅TP1 116.86 (close 1/2 lot. Move SL to entry)
✅TP2 116.47 (take some partial)
✅TP3 116.11 (close trade)
❌SL 117.527
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submitted by Rudenko to PriceAction_FxSignals [link] [comments]

EUR/USD forecast: Euro took up math

EUUSD forecast: Euro took up math

Fundamental Euro forecast for today

Open EUUSD position according to the euro-area PMI data

Financial markets base on mathematics. The divergence in the economic growth, having supported the EUUSD bulls during the summer, looked like an equation with one unknown. A better epidemiological situation in Europe than in the USA has almost convinced investors that the euro-area economy will be recovering faster than the US GDP. As a result, the rise of the major currency pair depended on the US economic data. A better economic performance, together with the Fed’s unwillingness to ease its monetary policy (which signals hidden optimism), sent the euro down to $1.18. However, once there appeared some negative, the euro bulls went ahead.
The US jobless claims are again back to a level of above 1 million, the manufacturing PMI data reported by the New York Fed and Philadelphia Fed are weak. These reports show that the US economy is not revering as rapidly as the dollar buyers would like. I have many times stressed that the market turns out to be more fundamental amid the interest rates of the world’s leading central banks, which are close to zero. Investors are quite responsive to the reports on the US domestic data, especially since the US economy has been that unknown in the growth- gap equation.
The experts’ projections for the euro-area economy have been optimistic. In my opinion, too optimistic. Since the French-German stimulus plan was adopted, the euro risk reversals have been up by 60-80 basis points. The indicator has increased so rapidly only three times since the records began in 2006, and each time, the EUUSD was up by 5% and more in a few net months. There is an increased demand in the options market for call options with strikes of 1.22, 1.23, 1.25, and even 1.28.

Demand for euro-dollar options



Source: Bloomberg
Investors completely forgot that an equation with one unknown could transform at any moment into an equation with two unknowns. In Europe, the second wave of the pandemic unfolding. In Spain, about 4,800 new COVID-19 cases are registered per day, which is the highest since April; in France, the number of coronavirus cases has increased by 50% in a week, in Germany, the figure has exceeded 1,500, the highest since early May. Yes, European relative indicators still fall short of the US, where 150 cases for 1 million of the population (in problematic Spain, there are 110 cases for 1 million), Yes, most infected are young people. Hence, the number of hospitalizations and deaths is small, but who knows how the situation will develop further?
The difficulties will increase amid the expiration of programs to retain the non-working population in the labor force, which could result in a surge in unemployment and weigh on the consumer activity. The ECB stressed this problem at its July meeting, the central bank is willing to expand QE if necessary. It is a bearish factor for the EUUSD, but traders ignored it. The euphoria about the euro is still present and could end up bad for the euro buyers. The uncertainty about the euro-area economic recovery increases the risk that the euro will roll down to $1.18 if the euro-area PMI data for August are weak.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
https://www.liteforex.com/blog/analysts-opinions/eurusd-forecast-euro-took-up-math/?uid=285861726&cid=79634
submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]

Forex Live Signals Telegram (EURJPY) 💯✅📢

Forex Live Signals Telegram (EURJPY) 💯✅📢

FOREX SIGNALS EURJPY
🔔INSIDER SIGNALS ALERT🔔
📡EUR JPY
🔹SELL 126.032 (NOW)
✅TP1 125.81 (close 1/2 lot. Move SL to entry)
✅TP2 1125.41 (take some partial)
✅TP3 125.08 (close trade)
❌SL 126.858
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I also offer one on one coaching via skype. I will teach the same strategy I use for predicting our 85% winning rate signals (perfect for beginners and pro) and I will share the indicators to spot profitable trades. For more information, contact me on Telegram 👉🏼 https://t.me/pafxss
submitted by Rudenko to PriceAction_FxSignals [link] [comments]

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